All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Elkhart Central Early Bird |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conf. |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/12 |
8/18 |
8/25 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
| Team Rating |
649 |
797 |
762 |
1,015 |
677 |
707 |
634 |
632 |
666 |
601 |
707 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
676 |
671 |
707 |
677 |
707 |
634 |
632 |
666 |
601 |
707 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Elkhart Central Early Bird |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conf. |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 98 |
Nathan Dibley |
12 |
16:37 |
17:28 |
16:33 |
|
16:49 |
16:57 |
16:41 |
16:51 |
16:36 |
16:28 |
16:25 |
| 315 |
Elias Soto |
12 |
17:15 |
17:25 |
17:08 |
17:25 |
17:04 |
17:18 |
17:14 |
17:04 |
17:18 |
17:00 |
18:12 |
| 593 |
Eric Garcia |
11 |
17:47 |
|
|
18:32 |
18:05 |
18:05 |
17:53 |
18:06 |
17:52 |
17:48 |
17:34 |
| 653 |
Jose Quinones |
10 |
17:52 |
17:32 |
20:08 |
|
18:13 |
17:56 |
17:58 |
17:25 |
17:36 |
17:37 |
18:14 |
| 1,217 |
Sergio Delacruz |
11 |
18:35 |
|
18:02 |
18:24 |
18:35 |
18:55 |
18:10 |
18:42 |
18:57 |
19:03 |
18:22 |
| 1,299 |
Austin Garcia |
12 |
18:41 |
18:20 |
18:55 |
18:50 |
18:38 |
18:38 |
18:24 |
18:31 |
19:24 |
18:33 |
19:04 |
|
Cody Charters |
9 |
19:03 |
20:17 |
18:52 |
20:38 |
18:19 |
20:38 |
18:53 |
19:47 |
|
19:04 |
18:49 |
|
Ty Windy |
11 |
19:43 |
22:23 |
20:06 |
19:47 |
19:49 |
19:35 |
19:23 |
19:22 |
19:55 |
|
|
|
Jay Vindel |
9 |
19:49 |
19:54 |
20:06 |
19:36 |
19:59 |
19:35 |
20:03 |
19:39 |
|
|
|
|
Dylan Duran |
10 |
20:03 |
19:17 |
|
|
|
|
|
20:16 |
|
|
|
|
Luis F. Perez |
11 |
20:20 |
20:10 |
20:01 |
19:49 |
20:17 |
21:21 |
21:08 |
20:04 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
16.5 |
413 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
3.5 |
10.0 |
23.2 |
43.1 |
16.5 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.7 |
150 |
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
3.8 |
12.6 |
22.5 |
29.3 |
25.1 |
5.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.4 |
99 |
0.2 |
2.0 |
14.3 |
29.0 |
50.0 |
4.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan Dibley |
16.8% |
67.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
16.8% |
16.8% |
| Elias Soto |
0.0% |
109.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan Dibley |
100% |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Elias Soto |
100% |
92.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
82.4% |
| Eric Garcia |
100% |
134.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.8% |
| Jose Quinones |
100% |
139.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.0% |
| Sergio Delacruz |
100% |
164.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Austin Garcia |
100% |
166.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan Dibley |
100% |
4.4 |
3.1 |
9.5 |
15.4 |
16.3 |
15.1 |
13.0 |
10.3 |
7.0 |
3.7 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elias Soto |
100% |
18.8 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Eric Garcia |
100% |
38.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Jose Quinones |
100% |
41.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Sergio Delacruz |
100% |
63.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55.1% |
| Austin Garcia |
100% |
67.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38.4% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan Dibley |
2.3 |
5.7 |
37.0 |
28.0 |
18.2 |
6.3 |
2.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elias Soto |
10.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
4.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.9 |
9.2 |
9.8 |
8.9 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Eric Garcia |
21.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
8.1 |
10.0 |
10.8 |
10.3 |
9.6 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
| Jose Quinones |
23.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
4.7 |
6.0 |
8.1 |
9.4 |
9.4 |
8.5 |
8.3 |
| Sergio Delacruz |
39.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Austin Garcia |
41.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
